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Often,
database marketing campaigns start with a
calendar based on previous years' campaigns,
with ad hoc campaigns added based on product
overstock conditions. Next, the owner/marketing
manager determines which products should be
part of the promotion, a choice often largely
made based on the type of campaign. For example,
if it is a "Household" campaign,
then house wares, linens and other "Household"
products are promoted. The specifics of the
offer, such as price discounts, also are resolved
at this point. Finally, after all the specifics
of the campaign are decided, the database
marketer chooses which customers to promote
to.
Exceptions to this process may happen when
there is a strategic reason to target a specific
group of customers. For example, a database
marketer might decide that the corporate strategy
should be to develop a more loyal customer
base among upscale young women. In this case,
customers would be chosen for a campaign based
on these attributes.
Either way, the campaign still is planned
first, without regard as to whether this is
the right promotion at the right time for
the right customer segment. What is wrong
with this approach to promotion planning?
First, it ignores customer purchase cycles.
The optimal time between a customer's promoted
purchases may not coincide with the promotion
calendar.
Second, there are not enough controls over
the number of times customers are part of
campaigns. Controls can be set using suppression
rules (i.e., do not select customers who have
been mailed to in the last 30 days), but these
are often arbitrary and applied uniformly
across customer segments.
Third, by finding the customers to fit the
campaign, rather than planning campaigns around
the customer, many valuable customers never
will be adequately promoted to, and you will
not get an adequate return on your investment
in database marketing. Mailing costs soar;
there are high levels of customer attrition;
and the company spends a huge amount of money
to maintain a customer database that is not
providing as much value as it should.
Also important is the way you segment the
customers. Most businesses stick to the traditional,
tried-and-tested route such as corporate,
heavy users, etc. We advocate the use of customer
motivation as a basis for segmentation.
An alternative to planning and implementing
database-marketing campaigns based on a campaign-centric
orientation is to move toward a customer-centric
approach. This approach maximises the database
marketer's return on a sizeable investment
in the customer database. This consists of
several stages:
1. Start with customer segments: Segments
can be defined any way the marketer usually
segments the customer base, using recency,
frequency, monetary value (RFM), demographics,
types of products purchased or any other method.
A valuable approach is to incorporate promotion
sensitivity into the segmentation scheme.
2. Review your current calendar with respect
to your customer segments: Look at the number
of times customer segments are contacted,
expected customer spending and the level of
marketing expenditures projected to be allocated
to customer segments over the year. From this,
you can estimate an expected return on investment
(ROI) for each customer segment. This provides
a base line of information against which you
can measure customer-centric promotion effectiveness.
At this stage the promotion is still campaign-driven;
however, database marketers have gained the
ability to understand how many and which campaigns
are being assigned to each customer segment.
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The
advantage of taking a long-term view
rather than planning each campaign independently
is that it allows the system to evaluate
the effect of a stream of promotions
on the customer
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3. Use a model-driven approach to campaign
planning that takes the interactions between
campaigns into account: The intent for this
approach is to create a promotion calendar
for each customer segment that most closely
optimises customer segment profitability.
This is not based on "pure science."
Business requirements may limit the desirability
of planning campaigns in a purely customer-centric
way, so database marketers must incorporate
business and production constraints.
The advantage of taking a long-term view rather
than planning each campaign independently
is that it allows the system to evaluate the
effect of a stream of promotions on the customer.
In the short run, there might be a good ROI
from running several campaigns one after the
other. However, this reduces profitability
over the course of the year.
Using this approach, we must look at all past
campaigns and develop a model, one for each
customer segment that estimates revenue and
profit for the customer segment. Each past
campaign and its attributes - promoted products,
time, markdowns, media mix becomes a variable
in the model. We must also include the number
of times the customer was promoted to.
The model becomes a basis for a sensitivity
analysis. The campaign planner can determine
how different promotion schedules and different
types of offers will affect profitability
for each customer segment. Over the year,
the plan can be updated and ad hoc promotions
added based on an ongoing response analysis
and merchandise opportunities.
4. Allow the system to build the campaigns
- including timing, number and specifics of
the offers - to optimise profitability across
campaigns, based on business and production
constraints: Use the customer segment model
previously developed as the basis for the
optimisation procedure that will lead to a
database-marketing schedule for each customer
segment. This can be modified by the campaign
planner.
The real challenge when making the transition
from campaign-centric to customer-centric
database marketing is melding the calendars
from the two approaches. Experienced database
marketers always will need to make choices
on how to do this. This process we use moves
the database marketer in a customer-centric
direction, in which products, timing, markdowns
and other details of a specific offer are
planned around the customer segment. Database
marketing efforts then can focus on making
sure valuable customers are marketed to in
a way that ensures long-term profitability.
[Innovative
Media is a knowledge management consultancy.
The Author writes for a number of well-known
publications world-wide and has several published
works to his credit.]
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