|
since
the mid-1980s (Dhanya Krishnakumar, April 03, 2002).
According to the industry body MAIT, (Manufacturers
Association of Information Technology) PC sales
in India during the first half of fiscal 2001-02
showed a decline of 4 percent over the corresponding
period in fiscal 2000-01.
What was worse was that MAIT was projecting a decline
of 12.5 percent in PC sales this fiscal. (Rajneesh
De and Srikanth RP, January 21, 2002).
Its terrible he remarked to his
Chief Financial Officer (CFO) and his Manager Marketing
(MM). The CFO jumped on the opportunity to score
a point declaring assertively the recessionary
trends in the Indian economy are one of the most
important causes. There is definitely
more to it than that, shot back the MM, annoyed
that the CFO hardly ever thought from the customers
angle. Even though economic factors cannot
be ruled out, an important issue that has to be
mooted is whether PC manufacturers are delivering
value to their customers. One important aspect of
value lies in the way the product is delivered to
the customer. I doubt whether the distribution channel
for PCs in India is well tuned to the needs of the
customers, especially the SOHO (Small Office Home
Office) segment. I strongly feel that the performance
would have been much better if the SOHO segment
had lapped up more PCs explained the MM.
|
|
The
Distribution System
The business channels that dominate the PC industry
are the direct salesforce and the dealer channels,
as shown in Fig.1. Certain computer vendors
have also taken the lead in establishing themselves
as retailers by selling their computers through
retail stores. The SOHO segment neglected!
That is interesting! the GM cut in - what
is the potential of this segment? |
It was a month ago that the MM had approached his
boss with his idea of the importance of the
SOHO segment and hence the meeting this morning.
Sir, explained the MM, according
to IDC/Nasscom estimates, around 18 lakh PCs were
sold during 2000-01 and of these, approximately
one third found their way into homes (NASSCOM :
Statistics). However, one of the main reasons as
to why the SOHO segment is not growing in India
as much as it should, is because there is no channel
which will specifically cater to the needs of the
SOHO segment. In fact, all the attention of the
vendors is on the corporate sector with its huge
IS budgets, and the end result is that the SOHO
segment is being neglected.
I do appreciate your initiative, remarked
the CFO, but surely since its your idea that
we target this SOHO segment isnt it important
that you point a finger on its needs? For
his part, the MM had done an impressive amount of
work developing his idea, conducting surveys and
focus groups. Now he began to unveil his thoughts.
The
needs of the SOHO segment
Sir, began the MM, most owners
of home PCs complain, that in spite of purchasing
the annual maintenance contract (AMC), the service
engineers dont respond promptly. Again, even
though all computers come with a warranty period,
some resellers say that they do not by themselves
give the free service during this period and that
customers would have to contact the company (which
is a big hassle) if anything goes wrong. Reliable
after sales service is the most important thing
potential SOHO buyers (with usually a single computer
at their disposal) have in mind. Even when vendors
promise prompt and reliable service, so poor is
the track record of vendors that customers wonder
whether they will get prompt service in spite of
paying extra for it. Again, another unique characteristic
of the Indian SOHO segment is the fear of obsolescence.
Unlike users in the West who welcome short lifecycle
chips because they are always keen on upgrading,
Indian users want durable chips that will not be
underpowered for the software five years from now.
Uncertainty avoidance is so great in the Indian
psyche that customers want the vendor to guarantee
that he will inform them about all the latest advances
in processing power and help the customers to upgrade
their machines at a reasonable cost. In fact, in
India, the SOHO segment needs a high degree of hand
holding, and even the very basic knowledge about
operating systems and software has to be imparted.
Most vendors give only a very preliminary demonstration
of the various parts of the PC and very few are
willing to take the effort to constantly inform
customers regarding upgradation possibilities.
What about price? quipped the CFO. This
time it was the GM who replied. Price is one
of the most important factors hindering the growth
of PCs in the SOHO segment, he explained.
An average branded PC with multimedia costs
around Rs. 50000 (minimum) which means for the majority
of people, saving up for months. Expensive software
is another problem. Many resellers have convenient
financing schemes available but the interest rate
is usually high, plus there is a service charge.
Even during the warranty period, the spare parts
are extra and expensive. Even the AMC is quite expensive.
|
SOHO
SEGMENT
|
|
Segment
1
* Not knowlegeable about computers.
* Very price sensitive.
* Needs realiable, prompt, after sales service.
* Needs training.
|
Segment
2
* Somewhat knowlegeable about computers.
* Needs prompt, reliable after sales service
and on ways to upgrade.
* Are willing to pay a premium for these services.
* Does not need training. |
Segment
3
* Very knowlegeable about computers.
* Does not need after sales service.
* Very price sensitive.
* Does not need training. |
Sir, the CFO protested, the SOHO
segment seems quite big - so how on earth can we
treat it like one homogeneous group? Well,
smiled the MM. I have in mind certain segments
that the SOHO segment can be further subdivided
into according to the needs of the customers (Fig.2).
At present, these 3 segments, even though different
in their requirements from the distribution channel,
are being catered to by the same distribution channel,
that is by the authorized resellers.
The first segment , explained the MM,
consists of people who are not very knowledgeable
about computers, and for whom affordability and
price are the most important factors. These people
need the computer perhaps for their children who
are learning computers in school, for home accounting
or for some business purpose. What they mostly require
by way of services is reliable, prompt, after sales
service and some amount of training. They do not
need information on say the latest software or ways
by which they can upgrade their PC. They feel most
comfortable buying the PC from a shop nearby, where
they know the dealer personally, where they can
immediately go if the PC is giving a problem and
where they can keep track of how the repair is going
on. Especially in suburbs and small towns, people
rely on dealers more because company service centres
are located mainly in the metropolitan cities. Also,
customers feel that company salespeople are indifferent
to their problems. An outlet which can meet their
needs is a local consumer electronic store which
among TVs, refrigerators and other things can also
stock a few good brands of low priced PCs.
|
Many
resellers have convenient financing schemes
available but the interest rate is usually
high, plus there is a service charge
|
Prices can be kept reasonable because the dealer
does not have to stack too much fancy software or
various configurations of PCs and also due to economies
of scope. What the dealer needs is only a few men
who are well versed in repairing computers and able
to offer a limited amount of training. The second
segment constitutes of people who are somewhat knowledgeable
about computers and who may want to buy PCs for
doing some amount of professional work. Basically,
in this segment, customers want availability, broad
assortments, multiple brands and prompt and reliable
after sales service, and are willing to sacrifice
some price benefits to get them. Computer specialty
stores should be ideal for servicing these people
- the stores should have various brands and all
accessories and software under one umbrella. Imparting
training to customers is really not essential in
this case, because often customers learn how to
operate the software from their workplace itself.
However, the seller should be able to provide the
latest information regarding the various upgradation
possibilities and softwares, as well as after-sales
service. The third category of the SOHO segment
consists of people, who are very well versed about
computers and self reliant, but who are price sensitive
and therefore buy from the gray market. In the gray
market, there is always the fear in customers
minds about spurious parts, a lack of accountability
from the vendors side and no resale value.
These people know enough about computers to service
small faults on their own, or are willing to get
repairs done by some third party. A mail order or
telephone order system by doing away with distributor
margins, should provide these people with a branded,
reliable PC and accessories at reasonable prices.
In fact, the manufacturing company can also
set up a centralized telephone support system for
all these segment, suggested the CFO, adding
To be honest, I dont think we have the
resources to target all the three sub-segments at
the same time. Again, how do we estimate the demand
potential for each of these three segments?
|
Rainbow
had to grow in order to survive and here was
the SOHO segment that had been neglected and
that ought to explode in the years to come
|
|
Regarding the estimation of demand,
the MM pondered, cant we as a starter,
assume that all the three segments have equal potential?
No the CFO snapped back. I suggest
that we prepare a macroeconomic forecast projecting
inflation, interest rates, consumer spending and
other variables. This can be used along with other
environmental indicators to forecast sales for each
SOHO sub-segment.
A survey of buyers intentions may help
too; or perhaps if we advertise, clearly outlining
our positions for each of the three segments and
ask prospective customers to respond to us? Or perhaps
take demand estimates from our sales representatives,
dealers or trade associations? They ought to have
good insights into developing trends, suggested
the GM. In fact, how should we determine which
of the three SOHO sub-segments to enter? Is it only
the size of the segment, or the ease of serving
that segment, or any other factors? We need to research
these further.
Driving back home, the GMs thoughts continued
to race. Rainbow had to grow in order to survive
and here was the SOHO segment that had been neglected
and that ought to explode in the years to come,
with an increasing awareness about PCs, increasing
buying power and the advent of the Internet. We
need to think fast, he thought.
Questions
1. How can the GM decide on which
segment to enter, taking into
account the potential and
capabilities available/to be made
available?
2. Examine and evaluate the
methodology for determining the
segment wise potential.
References
1. Rajneesh De and Srikanth RP (21st January, 2002);
Express Computer The
IT Business Weekly, Desktop sales
travel southwards in H1 2001-02;
http://www.expresscomputeronline.com/20020121/cover1.shtml
2. Dhanya Krishnakumar (3rd April, 2002), Dataquest
Tumbling to
Ground Zero; http://www.dqindia.com/content/industrymarket/newsanalysis/102040305.asp
3. NASSCOM (Statistics); http://www.nasscom.org/it_industry/indic_statistics.asp
.
|