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It
is said that for every arrow of Ram's
that got rid of one of Ravan's ten heads,
another one popped up.
Interesting
This went on and on in a nightmarish
loop till Agastaya Muni pointed out
an extremely simple, almost naïve,
solution. "Strike at the heart'
he said, that's the only way to conquer
your opponent.
Ram listened, and, won. Of course he
needed the Brahma Missile to do the
job, (the instructions for which clearly
read "to be used only when all
else failed') but then that's another
story for another day)
The interpretation explains that this
momentous battle between two equally
strong opponents is symbolic of the
battle between reason and emotion. For
every argument that Ram put forward,
Ravan countered with a very clear, logical
reply. The more Ram reasoned with Ravan,
the more reasons Ravan had, to justify
his position. Till of course Ram used
emotion and went and won Ravan's heart.
And the rest is history.
So why should I be quoting this little
story for an article that deals with
"impact of economic slowdown on
advertising budgets and its long term
implications"?
The answer, as they say, lies in the
telling.
To come back to the world of today,
let's have a look at what we are facing.
Recession days are here again. And advertisers
are doing what they love best - Cutting
back on advertising spends. So we bring
up the inevitable question all over
again. How will cutting back affect
the "brand" over the long-term?
*
In 1947, Buchen Advertising tracked
the annual advertising expenditures
for a large number of companies,
correlating spending to sales trends
before, during or after the recessions
of 1949 and 1954, as well as sales
and profits trends surrounding the
recessions of 1958 and 1961. It
found that sales and profits dropped
off almost without exception at
companies that cut back on advertising,
and these lags continued even after
the recession ended.
* For the 1970 and 1974-75 recessions,
The American Business Press and
Meldrum & Fewsmith showed that
advertising aggressively during
recessions not only increases sales
but increases profits. Speaking
of the 1970 recession, the study
concluded, "sales and profits
can be maintained and increased
in recession years and in the years
immediately following by those who
are willing to maintain an aggressive
marketing posture, while others
adopt the philosophy of cutting
back on promotional efforts when
sales appear to be harder to get."
Regarding the 1974-75 recession,
the study stated, "companies
that did not cut advertising expenditures
during the recession experienced
higher sales and net income during
those two years and the two years
following than those companies which
cut in either or both recession
years."
* McGraw-Hill Research analyzed
468 industrial companies during
the 1974 recession and 600 industrial
companies in 16 different industries
for the 1981-82 recession. Findings
showed that firms that increased
or maintained their advertising
spending averaged significantly
higher sales growth, both during
the recession and for the following
three to five years than those who
eliminated or decreased advertising.
As the graph shows, sales of companies
that maintained or increased advertising
during the 1974 recession showed
132% sales growth by
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As I see it there are two typical ways
marketers address a recession
1. Resigning to the fact that
there is no point in throwing good money
after bad and pulling back on spends
altogether
2. Pushing the envelope way,
way out and going for all-out brand
building.
We see very few companies indulging
in the latter, with the first option
being everybody's favourite route.
As a corollary to the first route, most
companies are falling all over themselves
in a 'price-off' bid to win the consumers
wallet. Of course, who doesn't love
a price-off? But what is worrying about
this is that at the expense of a price-off
promotion, it is the brand's 'value'
that is eroding at an alarming pace.
Creating value around a product is what
all of us strive to do, day in and day
out. As Coca-Cola's COO, Steven J Heyer
so succinctly described it, "Coca-Cola
isn't black water with a little sugar
and a lot of fizz anymore that one of
your movies is celluloid digital bits
and bytes, or one of your songs is a
random collection of words and notes.
Coca-Cola isn't a drink. It's an idea.
Like great movies, like great music,
Coca-Cola is a feeling."
I think he spoke for the entire gamut
of advertising and marketing when he
expressed it this way. We all know that
our consumer taps into a feeling, or
the emotion that a brand radiates, rather
than respond to cold, hard reasoning.
And we all know that in a world where
our consumer is getting more knowledgeable,
more sophisticated, more risk-averse
(especially when the economy is going
through a downturn), building on emotions
and feelings are being postponed for
fair-weather days.
History has many interesting anecdotes
of how companies who continued to invest
in marketing and brand building during
a recession went on to become category
leaders and some of America's most successful
brands. On hindsight it all seems pretty
clear. The companies who didn't have
a significant advertising presence caused
their consumers to feel abandoned and
thus drove them to a more aggressive
suitor. It looks like distance in this
case really didn't make the heart grow
fonder.

1978,
while those who cut advertising
were ahead by 79%. During
the 1981 recession, sales
of companies that were strong
recession advertisers had
risen 275%, compared to
an increase of 19% growth
for those companies that
decreased spending.
* In 1982, Cahners Publishing
Company & The Strategic
Planning Institute studied
2,000 businesses to explore
the relationship between
market share and profitability,
and advertising's impact
on this relationship. As
it pertains to our discussion
of recessions, the study
found that businesses that
increased media spending
by up to 28% had a .5 market
share increase during periods
of recession, and those
that increased 28-80% increased
market share by 1.5 share
points. During expansion
times, however, those that
increased spending up to
28% saw a .2 share increase,
and those increasing 28-80%
also had a .2 share increase.
(See Chart Media Advertising
Expenditures)
In other words, the study
suggested that "a recessionary
market condition can provide
an opportunity for a business
to break from traditional
budget-cutting patterns
and build a greater share
of market through aggressive
media advertising. In fact,
the study |
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A
case study from brands of the Great
Depression (1929 through 1941) Procter
& Gamble
A company with history like P&G
has obviously weathered many a recession
and its philosophy of not reducing advertising
during down economic periods has generally
resulted in progress in each of the
last major recessions. As stated by
Ira Matathia, CEO of Brands Future Group,
Young and Rubicam, "P&G's progress
in every one of the last major recessions
is no accident. Everyone let up the
gas on spending and Procter was smart
in increasing spending."
Historically, P&G's philosophy of
spending during economic downturns dates
back to the Great Depression. The Great
Depression caused hardship for many
U.S. corporations as well as for individuals,
but Procter & Gamble emerged virtually
unscathed. Radio took Procter &
Gamble's message into more homes than
ever. Then a variety of products such
as Camay, Ivory and Lava Soap were promoted
on product-oriented shows, almost like
infomercials. But in 1933, in the heart
of the depression, P&G went into
radio in a new way, and took a risk
that changed the company, and the medium.
The president of P&G at the time,
Richard Deupree, believed people were
still buying essential household products
and saw the opportunity to capture market
share, despite protests to cut advertising
from shareholders.
His idea: create compelling serial programming
for the radio networks that did not
focus on a product, but was clearly
sponsored by a product. Hence, the beginning
of the daytime "soap operas"
and an advertising model that still
exists today.
The first P&G radio soap opera to
debut in 1933 was "Ma Perkins,"
sponsored by Oxydol. Satisfied with
the ability of this show to successfully
increase sales, P&G went on to develop
"Vic and Sade" for Crisco,
"O'Neill's" for Ivory Soap
and Forever Young" for Camay. By
1939, P&G was sponsoring 21 radio
programs, and virtually doubled its
radio spending every two years during
the depression. In 1935, P&G spent
$2 million on radio. In 1937, its radio
spends totaled $4.5 million, and by
1939 radio spending topped $8.8 million.
"P&G virtually built daytime
radio for the networks and became the
leading radio advertiser by the yardstick
of number of periods of time on the
air." Looking ahead some 50 years
to the recession of 1990-1992, P&G's
strategy of marketing fortitude once
again prevailed. Procter & Gamble
was the only marketer among the five
biggest U.S. advertisers to increase
spending in 1991. P&G managed to
increase sales and earnings during this
period (the late 1980s to early 1990s)
and company sales surpassed the $30
billion mark in 1993.
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It
would be good to remember that
during a recession the consumer
doesn't go away. Instead he becomes
more discerning. He looks for that
ephemeral quality - value |
A
case study from brands of the 1990-1992
Recession:
While the previous example was meant
to highlight a classic American brand
that rose to prominence despite the
worst economic depression of the 20th
Century, more recent examples of brands
emerging during recessions can also
be found. This supports the premise
that "marketing-driven opportunities
always exist, even in difficult economic
times." As you will see, this applies
even to big-ticket items such as computers
and automobiles, which are generally
considered to be the kinds of purchases
most impacted by a soft economy.
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Media
Advertising Expenditures
Effect on Market
Share
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Media
Spending
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Recession
Periods
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Normal
Market
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Expansion
Periods
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Increases
28-80%
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1.5%
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0.2%
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0.2%
|
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Increases
to 28%
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0.5%
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0.2%
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0.2%
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Decreases
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0.2%
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0.2%
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-1.0%
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Source
: Cahmers Publishing
1982
as reprinted in ABPs
Making a Recession
Work for You |
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| indicated
that businesses that are
aggressive media spenders
can increase their shares
of market more than the
average business during
market downturns. |
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Dell
Computers
Technology maverick Michael Dell founded
Dell Computers in 1984. The company
was based on the direct-to-consumer
model, which eliminated the retailer,
allowing for price discounts and constant
customer feedback. In 1988, spurred
by growing investor interest in technology
stocks, the company went public. But
it wasn't until 1991, the height of
the 1990-1992 recessions, that Dell
chose to make its most aggressive marketing
move up to that time, and take on the
established computer giants. The campaign
coincided with the introduction of its
first notebook computer. In 1991, advertising
in the entire computer hardware category
was down by 17.5% over the previous
year. Apple, Digital, IBM and Tandy
- some of the category's leading spenders
- all made significant spending cuts
in the range of (-25%) to (-40%). At
the same time, Dell increased their
marketing dollars 346% to $6 million,
up from just half a million in 1989
and $1.4 million in 1990. While Dell
was still not spending in the amount
of the computer giants, its message
- eliminating the middleman while offering
superior customer service - seemed to
hit home with consumers. Perhaps the
marketing cut backs by its competitors
offered the opportunity that Dell needed
to break into the consciousness of the
mainstream American consumer. The following
year, Dell was included for the first
time in the Fortune 500 roster of the
world's largest companies. By 1993,
the company was among the top 5 computer
system makers worldwide, and in 2001,
Dell became No. 1 in global market share.
But the issue at hand is not just the
worrying aspect of budget cutback or
consumer abandonment during a recession.
It is a shade more insidious.
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The
issue at hand is not just the
worrying aspect of budget cutback
or consumer abandonment during
a recession. It is a shade more
insidious
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It
is about the easy selling of a brand's
soul. At 50 paise less than the competitor's.
It's about companies trying to create
differentiation at the price point.
Whether it is automobiles, FMCGs, mobiles,
consumer durables, garments, electronic
equipment, airlines or any other category
- manufacturers/competitors are matching
product feature to product feature,
price point to price point. The result
- the consumer is beginning to fall
out of love with a brand that sells
itself so easily.
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As
brands mature, they will need
to rejuvenate the target audience
for brand health and they may
also need to redefine the target
audience
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It
would be good to remember that during
a recession the consumer doesn't go
away. Instead he becomes more discerning.
He looks for that ephemeral quality
- value.
So what could be a possible solution?
Converge the two traditional routes
and innovate. Refocus. Reprioritize.
Offer value but not at the expense of
the brand's values.
Focus on core values and build lasting
brands.Core value focus used to
be achievable with a single strategic
execution. Now core values need to re-expressed
with greater variety. Continuity of
messaging is critical, interpreted through
a variety of themes.
Use media innovatively to get the
most out of it. Using the same traditional
media that we do, will subject them
to the same declines in its efficacy
and threaten their results.
Expand the target audience. As
brands mature, they will need to rejuvenate
the target audience for brand health
and they may also need to redefine the
target audience.
Discover the joy of relationship
marketing. Relationship marketing
will become a fundamental part of brand
communications in a fragmented media
environment. Database construction will
become a vital part of brand activity.
Focus only on powerful promotions.
These will surround the brand with a
more powerful halo. In this process,
the corporate brand identity becomes
more important as it adds leverage.
This is where I bring up the Ram Ravana
interpretation again. As has been so
well expressed, the battle should be
won, not with the swift repartee that
reason provides but with the total takeover
of the consumer's heart. As Pascal put
it, "the heart has reasons which
reason knows nothing of".
The heart will find a way - to justify
holding on to a brand through good times
and bad.
As long as we, as marketers make sure
that we find our way into peoples hearts,
and, then their minds. In that order.
For when it comes to a battle for the
wallet, it is almost impossible for
reason to win without the co-operation
and collaboration of the heart.
With
research and editorial support from
CVS Sharma and Minnie Abraham
References:
1. Jay P Pederson, Editor, International
Directory of Company Histories,
2. Advertising Age's, The House that
Ivory Built (Lincolnwood, Illinois:
NTC Business Books, 1995), p.18.
3. David Powers Cleary, Great American
Brands (New York: Fairchild Publications,
1981),
4. "More Companies Cut Marketing
as the Economy Falters, But Opportunities
Remain as Winners from the Last Recession
Show," Copernicus Magazine, October,
2001. Competitive Media Reporting (CMR),
media expenditure data
5. Dell Corporation, 2001, "About
Dell"
6. Ibid, quoting "How Advertising
in Recession Periods Affects Sales,"
ABP, 1979.
7. "Media Advertising When Your
Market Is in a Recession," Cahners
Advertising, as reprinted in "Making
a Recession Work for You," ABP
8. "Going Beyond" by Rishi
Prabhakar
Feeback
on this article may be emailed to:
smeditor@indiatimes.com
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TURNING
POINT
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Cutting
back (advertising)
during a down-turn
is like throwing
away your investment.
Maintenance today
costs much less
than rebuilding
tomorrow.
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ROBERT
WILSON
Award Winning Business writer
and speaker
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